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July242018

Preview: The Tour Junkies dish out the goods for The RBC Canadian Open from Glen Abbey and what it’s going to take to build the right DraftKings lineups. David and Pat come together to give their lock, value plays, sleeper and player to avoid in DFS formats.

Key Stats: SG: Off The Tee / SG: Approach / DraftKings Scoring / Course History / Recent Form

Lock of the week:

tony finau

Tony Finau $9,800 - The theme for this week will be 18Birdies Ambassadors that mash the ball off the tee. Finau checks all the boxes from a stat perspective and comes in with smoking hot form after racking up another T10 in a major championship. He’s gained nearly 15 strokes on the field at Glen Abbey in the last three years. The value on Finau is too great to pass up no matter how high his ownership in tournaments. Glen Abbey has taken some rain lately and the soft conditions make this a bomber’s paradise. Fire away with Finau in GPPs and cash.

Value Plays:

Chris Kirk $7,600 -  There are other solid plays between Finau and Kirk, but since we see so many values in the lower end, we thought we’d let you in on all of those. Kirk kicks it off after making his last eight cuts on the PGA Tour, along with four T25s in that time frame. He’s gained about 10 strokes total at Glen Abbey in his last three attempts. The Georgia Bulldog is 1st in the field in SG: APP and top 15 in DK scoring over the last 12 rounds. We’d expect him below 10% in most tournaments and don’t mind locking him in cash lineups either. Go Dawgs!

Embed from Getty Images Keith Mitchell $7,400 - Mitchell is the epitome of the aggressive, bomber type on the PGA Tour this season. He’s told us that he doesn’t like playing courses that take the driver out of his hand. He’ll love this Nicklaus design in its soft condition, allowing him to rip away. Keith ranks top 30 in this field in SG: OTT, SG: APP and DK Scoring over the last 12 rounds. Having a player like Vegas win this event in back to back years makes us think Mitchell could see his breakout victory come this weekend at the Glen.

Harold Varner III $7,100 - Easily one of our favorite values on the board this week is the red-hot HV3. The 18Birdies Ambassador is coming off a 6th and 5th place finish in his last two events on the PGA Tour. Having owned the Australian PGA last season, Varner is primed to take down his first PGA Tour victory any week now. We do see him being more popular this week than usual given the form and price. However, we’ll still roster him in tournaments while looking to have more shares of him than most. He also feels like the lowest priced cash player in the field if you want to load up on studs at the top.

Best bargain basement option:

Tom Lovelady

Tom Lovelady $6,800 - Our last bargain play for the week is yet another 18Birdies Ambassador in Tom Lovelady. Tom just buttoned up a 2nd place finish at the Barbasol on Monday. Tom crushes the ball off the tee and tends to play aggressively. He’s 19th in DK Scoring over the last 12 rounds in this field. We’ll look to ride the form, trust the bomb & gouge style, and take the fantastic price on Mr. Lovelady in GPPs on DraftKings.

Player to Avoid:

Brooks Koepka $10,800 - We just have a feeling that we’ll find Mr. Koepka in full on DGAF mode this week for the RBC Canadian. He hasn’t chosen to play here since 2015. He has no sponsor obligations to RBC. He’s coming off the trip to Scotland while gearing up for the PGA Championship in three weeks. With the price tag, you will need Brooks to finish T10 or better to come close to returning value. We’d rather take our chances with values below him and have a more balanced lineup for tournaments and cash. Sorry, Brooks. You’re a man dime and all, but...not this week.

 

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